About Me
Hello, I’m Hengtao Zhang (张恒韬), a lecturer at the School of Computer Science and Engineering, Guangdong Ocean University (GDOU). My academic journey in statistics has taken me through rigorous training and exploration: I earned my PhD in Statistics in 2022 from the Department of Statistics and Actuarial Science at the University of Hong Kong, where I was fortunate to be supervised by Dr. Aijun Zhang and Prof. Guosheng Yin. Prior to that, I completed my bachelor’s degree in Statistics at Wuhan University in 2018.
With a foundational background in statistics and ongoing research interests, I am committed to advancing knowledge in the field through teaching and scholarly work. Feel free to explore my website to learn more about my research projects, publications, and academic activities.
Research Interests
Biostatistics, Bayesian Statistics, Causal Inference, Computational Statistics, Epidemiology
Working Experiences
- Visiting Scholar, Department of Statistics and Data Science, Tsinghua University (THU), July 2026 - August 2026
Education Background
- Ph.D in Statistics, University of Hong Kong (HKU), September 2018 - December 2022
- B.Sc in Statistics, Wuhan University (WHU), September 2014 - June 2018
Publications
Note: * denotes the corresponding author, and # means that authors are contributed equally.
- Zhang, H., Lee, C. Y., Qu, Y.* (2026). A Bayesian estimator of the real-time case fatality rate in emerging pandemic to inform public health policy-making. BMC Infectious Diseases. [link] [codes]
- Zhang, H.#, Qu, Y#, Wong, K. Y., Lee, C. Y.* (2026). Bayesian analysis of Cox-type regression model with partly linear covariate effects via reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo. Statistics and Computing, 36(2), 67. [link] [codes]
- Zhang, H., Yin, G.* , & Rubin, D. B. (2024). PCA rerandomization. Canadian Journal of Statistics, 52(1), 5-25. [link] [codes]
- Zhang, H., Su, W., & Yin, G.* (2023). Quasi-rerandomization for observational studies. BMC Medical Research Methodology, 23(1), 155. [link] [codes]
- Zhang, H.#, Yang, Z.#, Sudjianto, A., & Zhang, A.* (2023). A sequential Stein’s method for faster training of additive index models. IEEE Transactions on Neural Networks and Learning Systems, 35(10), 13941-13950. [link] [codes]
- Cheung, Y. Y. H., Lam, K. F., Zhang, H., Kwan, C. W., Wat, K. P., Zhang, Z., … & Yin, G.* (2023, June). A randomized controlled experiment for comparing face-to-face and online teaching during COVID-19 pandemic. In Frontiers in Education (Vol. 8, p. 1160430). Frontiers Media SA. [link] [codes]
- Zhang, H., & Yin, G.* (2023). Unit information prior for incorporating real-world evidence into randomized controlled trials. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 32(2), 229-241. [link] [codes]
- Zhang, H., & Yin, G.* (2021). Response-adaptive rerandomization. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics, 70(5), 1281-1298. [link] [codes]
- Kuang, K.#, Zhang, H.#, Wu, R., Wu, F., Zhuang, Y., & Zhang, A.* (2021). Balance-subsampled stable prediction across unknown test data. ACM Transactions on Knowledge Discovery from Data (TKDD), 16(3), 1-21. [link]
- Yang, Z.#, Zhang, H.#, Sudjianto, A., & Zhang, A.* (2021). An effective SteinGLM initialization scheme for training multi-layer feedforward sigmoidal neural networks. Neural Networks, 139, 149-157. [link]
- Zhang, A.* , Zhang, H., & Yin, G. (2020). Adaptive iterative Hessian sketch via A-optimal subsampling. Statistics and Computing, 30(4), 1075-1090. [link]
Working Papers
- Mo, X., Ye, H., Qu, Y., Zhang, H.* (2026+). A Bayesian change-point mixed model for changing congruency effects in flanker tasks. Submitted.
- Qu, Y.#, Xu, X.#, Zhang, H.* (2026+). A delay-adjusted test for changes in age-specific fatality patterns. Working Paper.
- Zhang, H., Qu, Y., Xu, X.* (2026+). A propensity-score-calibrated unit information prior for borrowing historical control information in randomized clinical trials. Submitted.
- Qu, Y.#, Xu, X.#, Zhang, H.* (2026+). Cross-validation model averaging
under rerandomization. Working Paper.
- Zhang, H., Qu, Y., Xu, X.*, (2026+). Causal bootstrap for restricted randomization designs. Submitted.
- Zhang, H., Qu, Y., Lee, C. Y.* (2026+) Delay-adjusted online detection of changes in epidemic case-fatality risk. Working Paper.
- Zhang, H., Qu, Y., Jin, H.* (2026+). Robust unit information prior for prospective borrowing from multiple historical studies. Working Paper.
- Zhang, H.#, Qu, Y.#, Jin, H.* (2026+). RADISH: Robust adaptive discrepancy-informed shrinkage for historical borrowing in clinical trials. Working Paper.
- Chen, S., Wong, C. Y., Zhang, H., Qu, Y., Deng, Z.* (2026+) Divergent impacts of contrasting COVID-19 public health policies on emergency department utilization and mortality: a comparative interrupted time-series analysis of Hong Kong and Shenzhen. Under Review.
- Qu, Y.#, Xu, X.#, Zhang, H.* (2026+). Uniform-design subsampling for compute-budgeted
double machine learning. Under Review.
- Zhang, H., Lee, C. Y., Qu, Y.* (2026+). A Bayesian changepoint model for time-varying case fatality rate via the reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo. Under Review.
- Zhang, H., Lee, C. Y., Qu, Y.* (2026+). A Bayesian semiparametric framework for factual and counterfactual time-varying case fatality rate estimation. Under Review.
Teaching
- 2026 Fall - Now: Advanced Calculus II, Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics
- 2025 Fall - 2026 Spring: Advanced Calculus I & II, Linear Algebra
- 2024 Fall - 2025 Spring: Advanced Calculus II, Linear Algebra, Economics Calculus
- 2023 Fall - 2024 Spring: Advanced Calculus II, Linear Algebra
Selected Awards
- HKU Postgraduate Scholarship, 2018-2022
- HKU SAAS Excellent Research Award, 2021
- First-Class Scholarship, WHU, 2016-2017
- National Scholarship, WHU, 2016-2017
- Outstanding Student, WHU, 2015-2017
Presentations
- 2026
- Invited Talk, “A Bayesian Changepoint Model for Time-varying Case Fatality Rate”, Central China Normal University, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan, China
- Invited Talk, “PCA Rerandomization”, Lingnan Normal University, Zhanjiang, China
- Invited Talk, “Bayesian Analysis of Cox-type Regression Model with Partly Linear Covariate Effects via Reversible Jump MCMC”, 中国现场统计研究会旅游大数据分会, 全国工业统计教学研究会数字经济与区块链技术协会2026年学术年会, 贵州财经大学,贵阳,中国
- 2025
- Invited Talk, “Bayesian Analysis of Cox-type Regression Model with Partly Linear Covariate Effects via Reversible Jump MCMC”, Frontier Forum on Mathematical Model Algorithms and Applications of Artificial Intelligence, School of Computer Science and Engineering, Guangdong Ocean University, Yangjiang, China
- Contributed Talk, “Bayesian Analysis of Cox-type Regression Model with Partly Linear Covariate Effects via Reversible Jump MCMC”, International Chinese Statistical Association (ICSA) 2025 China Conference, Beijing Normal University at Zhuhai, Zhuhai, China
- 2024
- Invited Talk, “PCA Rerandomization”, The 16th Symposium on Survival Analysis and Applied Statistics, Survival Analysis Branch of the Chinese Association for Applied Statistics, Zhejiang Gongshang University, Hangzhou, China
Academic Services
- Reviewer:
I serve as a reviewer for the following journals:
- Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference
- Pharmaceutical Statistics
- BMC Medical Research Methodology
- BMC Public Health
- Contemporary Clinical Trials
- Statistical Consultation:
I provide biostatistical consultation services for the University of Hong Kong-Shenzhen Hospital, supporting research and clinical study design, data analysis, and methodological guidance.
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